That’s What We Have to Fear.

Obama came into office wanting to fundamentally transform America. He did not have the grace to explain to voters what he meant by that. Most put it off to normal election year hype. But he was dead serious. He wanted  to transform America into something it was not. Into something it did not want to be.

So now he sits amid the wreckage of his first few years in office. His popularity is falling, and his party is increasingly in disarray,  showing signs of getting resentful towards him.

The thing we have to fear is this: Does Obama have some sort of master plan? His understanding of history is shaky at best. But does he hew to those hoary old shibboleths like “The country will rally around a president in time of war”? And will he bring us to war to save the changes he has made?

His mind does not work normally. If, as Charles Krauthammer and others say, he is a narcissist, the only thing that matters to him is him. And he will twist any bit of reality to emotionally protect himself. He must be defended at all costs. Not the country. Him.

So. Is there yet another war in our  future? And will that war be used to (supposedly) rally us all around Obama? The narcissitic mind works in strange ways. Will a war with Iran and the 2010 election arrive at the same time? The war may be used to kill two stones at once: an Iranian regime that threatens to upset the “Global Union of States”( a sort of EU of the world that Obama is trying to build,) and to rally the people round Obama during the next election.

Walter Russell Mead:

…there is a significantly greater chance that President Obama will lead the United States into a war with Iran than many observers think — and that chance is growing rather than shrinking as the confrontation wears on.

…Make no mistake about it.  If Iran gets nuclear weapons on his watch, the dream of non-proliferation comes to an end and Barack Obama will go down in history as the president who lost the fight to stop nukes.

It won’t just be Iran: if Iran defies western pressure to get nukes, every self-respecting country in the Middle East will want and need nukes.  Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt and even some of the smaller fry will have to make their moves.  They won’t all get the bomb but enough of them will.  This will have a disastrous impact on America’s ability to carry out one of its principle global tasks and ensure the steady and uninterrupted flow of oil to the great industrial and commercial centers of the world — but that isn’t all.  The decisive failure of the nonproliferation agenda in the Middle East undermine nonproliferation everywhere, not only because the Bomb will become even more of a coveted symbol of first class international status than it already is, but because with all those proliferating states buying and selling the technology, it will be harder to stop countries from moving ahead.  The global black market in nuclear tech will spread like kudzu; there will be so many sources and so many destinations that the traffic will be harder than ever to stop.

…If Iran gets the bomb, the world will change in ways that are deeply destructive of everything President Obama cares about.  A world in which nuclear weapons are widespread isn’t just a world in which the collapse of the non-proliferation movement has brought discredit on the concept of international law and binding treaties on security issues.  It won’t just be a world in which the bad guys have learned that the good guys will blink if you stand up to them.  It won’t just be a world in which emboldened Iranian adventurism will work more rashly and unscrupulously than ever to destroy our alliances and friends in the Middle East.

…There’s a possibility that he will flinch — or, to put it another way, that his Jeffersonian instincts for restraint will triumph over his Wilsonian ambition to build a better world.  But Iran is not just on a collision course with America’s core interests from a realist perspective.  It is trying to destroy the world that American idealists want to build.  That makes a conflict hard to avoid.


Comments are closed.